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Wednesday, October 25, 2006

Control of the Senate Will Come Down to Virginia

I don't write very much about polls. Mostly because this race has been tied for weeks.

Today the LA Times has Webb 47% Allen 44%.

That's great to see Jim Webb leading but it is still tied within the MoE.

I'm sure there will be more polls between now and November 7th but, regardless, Webb and Allen are tied. So, that means we have a turnout battle on our hands. It will matter how motivated Allen voters are v. how motivated Webb voters are. The GOP turnout machine is much ballyhooed so we must work extra hard. Our hard work will win this election.

This race is even more significant because it looks (right now) like MT, PA, OH, and RI will all go to the Dems. I think Missouri will as well. I'm pretty sure Harold Ford is going to lose in Tennessee.

That means as goes Virginia, so goes the Senate.

Think what that means. If Jim Webb wins:

1) The government will finally take global warming seriously.

2) Our energy policy can focus on shifting away from fossil fuels from foreign countries instead of giving tax breaks to companies making record profits.

3) We may have a veto-proof majority to support federal funding for embryonic stem cell research.

4) The direction in Iraq will change.

5) The War on Terror may actually be fought.

6) (Most importantly) Oversight will be returned to the Federal Government. Congress will re-assume it's role as a co-equal branch of government.

Now is the time.

Leave no doubt.


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Comments on "Control of the Senate Will Come Down to Virginia"


Anonymous Dharmster said ... (12:37 PM) : 

I think your math is wrong. The same LA Times poll has the Republican candidates up in both MO and TN. So if you assume the Democrats pick up seats in RI, PA, OH, VA, and MT that would leave the Senate with 48 Democrats, 2 Independents (who would caucus with the Democrats), and 50 Republicans. In such a scenario, Dick Cheney would assure the Republican's continue to maintain contorl.


Blogger Robb said ... (10:16 PM) : 

I'm counting MO for the Democrats (in my scenario although I am not convinced of this).

I'm not basing all my analysis on the LAT poll.

I just really feel like TN is a lot of talk but nothing will come of it.

The best thing TN can do (much like NJ is doing) is siphon off money that the national Republicans would otherwise spend in VA.

VA needs to go to Webb.


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