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Friday, July 21, 2006

Update on Middle East Regional War

Sorry I missed this piece of info when it first came out but (as I told you might happen here) Turkey is preparing to send troops into northern Iraq (i.e. Kurdistan) to retaliate against repeated attacks on Turkey by Kurdish guerrillas/freedom fighters/terrorists who are being harbored by the local Kurdish government.

These incursions have actually been more bloody than the Hizbullah attack on Israel which precipitated the massive military reprisals Lebanon is now experiencing. A military attack into Iraq would actually put Turkey at odds with the US and would help destabilize what is probably the most (read: only) stable part of Iraq. Turkish involvement in a hot conflict could also bring the EU deeper into the current Middle Eastern crisis (although it is hard to say in what capacity as many EU members do not want Turkey to join their club). Turkey is, however, a member of NATO which adds all sorts of mutual defense problems to the issue (ala World War One).

In other news, the State Department is saying that Iranians witnessed North Korea's recent missile tests. That's probably not good. I left out North Korea in my previous WWIII post because I was focusing on the Middle East, however, North Korean complications could expand the conflict into a southeast Asian theatre and more deeply entangle China. And who's side will they be on?

Finally, apparently people like Bill O'Reilly and Newt Gingrich are saying that we are already in WWIII. That is not what I am saying. I am saying that we are heading for WWIII if the situation in the region continues the way it is. Hopefully, that is not inevitable (and we certainly should not be rooting for it.)

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